Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.116309 0.129637 0.143272 0.158226 0.174127 0.190493 0.208575
2024-10-20 0.098024 0.116386 0.135879 0.157985 0.182230 0.207892 0.236987
2024-10-27 0.083701 0.105272 0.128941 0.156562 0.187642 0.221285 0.260209
2024-11-03 0.074125 0.098216 0.125436 0.157994 0.195420 0.236675 0.285177
2024-11-10 0.067651 0.093950 0.124447 0.161704 0.205305 0.254091 0.312193
2024-11-17 0.060157 0.087711 0.120518 0.161446 0.210181 0.265493 0.332167
2024-11-24 0.056131 0.085306 0.120823 0.165896 0.220318 0.282779 0.358781
2024-12-01 0.051053 0.081107 0.118555 0.166925 0.226152 0.294888 0.379303
2024-12-08 0.045870 0.076327 0.115199 0.166302 0.229747 0.304178 0.396400
2024-12-15 0.041904 0.072842 0.113216 0.167153 0.234946 0.315237 0.415490
2024-12-22 0.037668 0.068637 0.110017 0.166224 0.237763 0.323306 0.430940
2024-12-29 0.035413 0.067053 0.110138 0.169432 0.245636 0.337426 0.453596
2025-01-05 0.032241 0.063961 0.108145 0.169890 0.250142 0.347621 0.471808
2025-01-12 0.029113 0.060678 0.105695 0.169591 0.253580 0.356446 0.488350
2025-01-19 0.025907 0.056995 0.102468 0.168079 0.255329 0.363099 0.502202
2025-01-26 0.023883 0.055017 0.101537 0.169564 0.260881 0.374439 0.521779
2025-02-02 0.022693 0.054313 0.102382 0.173436 0.269528 0.389661 0.546168
2025-02-09 0.020505 0.051724 0.100310 0.173163 0.272655 0.397903 0.561933
2025-02-16 0.019730 0.051527 0.101775 0.177811 0.282293 0.414395 0.587970
2025-02-23 0.018155 0.049759 0.100758 0.178885 0.287128 0.424774 0.606417
2025-03-02 0.016321 0.047336 0.098601 0.178234 0.289578 0.432065 0.620991
2025-03-09 0.014969 0.045690 0.097565 0.179123 0.294058 0.441937 0.638798
2025-03-16 0.013357 0.043362 0.095319 0.178152 0.295938 0.448415 0.652315